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1994-09-03
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Document 0131
DOCN M9490131
TI Mathematical model for the AIDS epidemics evolution in Romania.
DT 9411
AU Cristea A; Strauss I; Stefan S. Nicolau Intitute of Virology, Bucharest,
Romania.
SO Rev Roum Virol. 1993 Jan-Jun;44(1-2):21-47. Unique Identifier : AIDSLINE
MED/94318514
AB The individuals are distributed in 9 risk groups (adults and children),
in which an HIV transmission way is predominant. Taking into account a
simplified graph of the HIV infection evolution, kinetic equations for
the number of individuals from each risk group--situated in various
stages of HIV infection--are written. The approximative solutions of
these equations give us: the characteristic exponents of the temporal
evolutions of the main and secondary local epidemics; the ratios Ci/Bi
and Di/Bi of asymptomatically contaminated and dead (as consequence of
AIDS) versus symptomatically contaminated; the onset of local epidemics
in various risk groups; the relative amplitude of the secondary local
epidemics versus the main local ones.
DE Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/*EPIDEMIOLOGY/TRANSMISSION Adult
Age Distribution Child Disease Outbreaks/*STATISTICS & NUMER DATA
Epidemiologic Methods Female Human *HIV-1 Male *Models, Statistical
Risk Factors Romania/EPIDEMIOLOGY Sex Distribution JOURNAL ARTICLE
SOURCE: National Library of Medicine. NOTICE: This material may be
protected by Copyright Law (Title 17, U.S.Code).